Workshop on Confidence Limits : CERN, Geneva, Switzerland, 17-18 January 2000 : proceedings / editors, F. James, L. Lyons, Y. Perrin. - vi, 295 pages : illustrations ; 30 cm. - CERN (Series) ; 2000-005. .



Introduction and statement of the problem -- Confidence limits -- Bayesian analysis -- Comments on methods for setting confidence levels -- Enhancing the physical significance of frequentist confidence intervals -- On the problem of low counts in a signal plus noise model -- Modified frequentist analysis of search results (The CLs method) -- The signal estimator limit setting method -- Analytic confidence level calculatons using the likelihood ratio and Fourier Transform -- Limits on Bs oscillations -- Confronting classical and bayesian confidence limits to examples -- Interval estimation as viewed from the world of mathematical statistics -- Drawing sensitivity curves -- Statistical analysis of the LSND evidence and the Karmen exclusion for ?Vu-?Ve oscillations -- Bayesian presentation of neutrino oscillation results -- Upper limits in the case that zero events are observed -- Stronger classical confidence limits -- On observability of signal over background -- Inclusion of systematic uncertainties in upper limits and hypothesis tests -- Setting limits and making discoveries in CDF -- Estimation of confidence intervals in measurements of trilinear gauge boson couplings.

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Confidence intervals

QC770 / .W67 2000